Independiente Res.vs
Platense Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 9/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Independiente Res. 1-0 Platense Res., with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Independiente Res. 1-1 Platense Res.
Original prediction
Independiente Res.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 60.6% | 58.8% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.2% | 24.3% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 5.90 | 15.2% | 16.8% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Projected Score
Independiente Res. 1–0 Platense Res.
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Independiente Res.
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
58.8%
Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20