GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 6/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Independiente Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Newell's Old Boys Res. are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Res. hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 59.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.2% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Res.

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

15.2%

Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente Res.DWLWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Newell's Old Boys Res.WDWWW

GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente Res.Newell's Old Boys Res.
76.8Attack44.9
69.6Defence69.6
69.6Form58.0
69.4Power59.0
1.48xG0.72
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