GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 2/12/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Res. · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Independiente Res. are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Independiente Riva. Res. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Res. hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Res.

Probability

72.1%

Model confidence

14.5%

Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente Res.LLLWW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente Riva. Res.WDWLL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente Res.Independiente Riva. Res.
76.8Attack40.9
69.6Defence56.1
69.6Form40.9
69.4Power47.6
2.22xG0.64
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