Independiente Res.vs
Huracán Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Independiente Res. 1-0 Huracán Res., with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Independiente Res. 3-0 Huracán Res.
Original prediction
Independiente Res.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.2% | 44.7% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.4% | 29.3% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.81 | 23.4% | 25.9% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Projected Score
Independiente Res. 1–0 Huracán Res.
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Independiente Res.
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80