GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 5/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Res. · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Independiente Res. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ferro 2 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Res. hold a 23.9-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.6% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Res.

Probability

74.1%

Model confidence

15.6%

Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente Res.WLWWD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ferro 2WLDLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente Res.Ferro 2
76.8Attack36.4
69.6Defence56.1
69.6Form39.4
69.4Power45.5
2.23xG0.56
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