GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 5/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Res. · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Independiente Res. are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Res. hold a 36.4-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 33.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.9% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Res.

Probability

85.1%

Model confidence

17.9%

Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente Res.LWWLW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2LLLDD

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Independiente Res.Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
76.8Attack16.7
69.6Defence48.5
69.6Form24.2
69.4Power33.0
2.71xG0.37
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