Independiente Res.vs
Estudiantes La Plata Res
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Reserve League · 8/19/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Independiente Res. are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Estudiantes La Plata Res are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Res. hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (68.5 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente Res.
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
14.1%
Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 7 · avg 3.60/1.40
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60