Reserve LeagueReserve League
Thursday, 16 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Independiente Res.

Independiente Res.

Home
W
21
Full time
Deportivo Riestra Res.

Deportivo Riestra Res.

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
Independiente Res.(42%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Independiente Res.
Win probability
Independiente Res.
42%
Draw
28%
Deportivo Riestra Res.
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Independiente Res.
73
Deportivo Riestra Res.
34
Defence
Independiente Res.
66
Deportivo Riestra Res.
27
Momentum
Independiente Res.
100
Deportivo Riestra Res.
0
Danger (xG)
Independiente Res.
1.80
Deportivo Riestra Res.
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Independiente Res.)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Deportivo Riestra Res.)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Independiente Res.)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Deportivo Riestra Res.)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Independiente Res.Independiente Res.
W
Deportivo Riestra Res.Deportivo Riestra Res.
L

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Independiente Res.42%
Draw28%
Deportivo Riestra Res.30%

Independiente Res. leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Independiente Res. head into this in Reserve League fixture in mixed form (W), while Deportivo Riestra Res. arrive in mixed form (L). Independiente Res. have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Deportivo Riestra Res. over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Independiente Res.'s strong attack (73/100) faces a vulnerable Deportivo Riestra Res. defence (27/100), while Deportivo Riestra Res.'s attack is up against a solid Independiente Res. backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Independiente Res.'s favour.

Independiente Res. have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Deportivo Riestra Res. have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Independiente Res. have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Independiente Res. to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Independiente Res. 4228%, Draw 2780%, Deportivo Riestra Res. 2992%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Independiente Res. 1Draws 00 Deportivo Riestra Res.
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
16 Jul 2026
Independiente Res.
W21
Deportivo Riestra Res.

Recent form

Independiente Res.

Independiente Res.

W
vs Deportivo Riestra Res.
16 Jul 2026
21
Deportivo Riestra Res.

Deportivo Riestra Res.

L
@ Independiente Res.
16 Jul 2026
12

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Independiente Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res.?

GoalVio's model predicts Independiente Res. to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Independiente Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res.?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Independiente Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res.?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Independiente Res. vs Deportivo Riestra Res.?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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