GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Res. · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Mediumconfidence

Independiente Res. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atl. Rafaela 2 are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Res. hold a 34.0-point power-rating edge (69.4 v 35.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Reserve League, while Independiente Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Res.

Probability

85.9%

Model confidence

14.1%

Independiente Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente Res.DDLWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atl. Rafaela 2LLLWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Independiente Res.Atl. Rafaela 2
76.8Attack37.9
69.6Defence37.9
69.6Form25.8
69.4Power35.5
3.25xG0.57
View match centre →