GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Primera División · 2/12/2023, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

The Strongest · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Independiente Petrolero are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while The Strongest are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and The Strongest hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.7% in the Primera División, while The Strongest holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

The Strongest

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

The Strongest has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente PetroleroLD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
The StrongestWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.50/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Independiente PetroleroThe Strongest
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence66.7
45.2Form64.3
50.1Power63.4
1.04xG1.44
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