Independiente Petrolerovs
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 9/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Petrolero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Independiente Petrolero 1-3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Original prediction
Independiente Petrolero
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 55.0% | 62.5% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 23.0% | 19.9% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 4.14 | 22.0% | 17.5% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Independiente Petrolero
Probability
62.5%
Model confidence
62.5%
Independiente Petrolero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60