Primera DivisiónPrimera División
Tuesday, 21 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Independiente Petrolero

Independiente Petrolero

Home
D
12
Full time
Real Potosí

Real Potosí

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
38% confidence
Real Potosí(36%)
Most likely exact score0-1
Prediction correct— Result: Real Potosí
Win probability
Independiente Petrolero
34%
Draw
29%
Real Potosí
36%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Independiente Petrolero
34
Real Potosí
94
Defence
Independiente Petrolero
66
Real Potosí
66
Momentum
Independiente Petrolero
33
Real Potosí
100
Danger (xG)
Independiente Petrolero
0.90
Real Potosí
2.70
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Independiente Petrolero)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Real Potosí)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Independiente Petrolero)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Real Potosí)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero
D
Real PotosíReal Potosí
W

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Independiente Petrolero34%
Draw29%
Real Potosí36%

Real Potosí leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Independiente Petrolero head into this in Primera División fixture in mixed form (D), while Real Potosí arrive in mixed form (W). Independiente Petrolero have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Real Potosí over 1 games.

Tactically, Real Potosí hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a solid Independiente Petrolero defence (66/100), while Independiente Petrolero's attack faces a solid Real Potosí backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Independiente Petrolero have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Real Potosí have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Independiente Petrolero and Real Potosí in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Real Potosí to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 0-1. Win probabilities: Independiente Petrolero 3433%, Draw 2925%, Real Potosí 3642%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Independiente Petrolero

Independiente Petrolero

D
vs Blooming
13 May 2026
11
Real Potosí

Real Potosí

W
vs ABB
9 Jul 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Independiente Petrolero vs Real Potosí?

GoalVio's model predicts Real Potosí to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Independiente Petrolero vs Real Potosí?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 0-1.

Will both teams score in Independiente Petrolero vs Real Potosí?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Independiente Petrolero vs Real Potosí?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more