GGOALVIO

Bolivia · Primera División · 4/3/2026, 9:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Petrolero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Independiente Petrolero are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Nacional Potosí are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Petrolero hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Primera División, while Independiente Petrolero holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Petrolero

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Independiente Petrolero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente PetroleroLLDWW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Nacional PotosíLWLWW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente PetroleroNacional Potosí
50.0Attack47.6
50.0Defence50.0
45.2Form35.7
50.1Power45.3
1.65xG1.29
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