Independiente Petrolerovs
Guabirá
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 8/27/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Petrolero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Independiente Petrolero 3-1 Guabirá
Original prediction
Independiente Petrolero
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.4% | 44.1% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.4% | 22.4% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.47 | 26.2% | 33.5% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Independiente Petrolero
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Independiente Petrolero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60