GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guabirá · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Independiente Petrolero are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Guabirá are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Guabirá hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (20.6 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Guabirá holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guabirá

Probability

52.6%

Model confidence

52.6%

Guabirá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente PetroleroWWLWL

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
GuabiráLWWLW

GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Independiente PetroleroGuabirá
14.3Attack0.0
28.6Defence100.0
4.8Form33.3
20.6Power45.3
0.77xG1.57
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