Independiente Petrolerovs
Bolívar
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 9/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolívar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Independiente Petrolero 0-4 Bolívar
Original prediction
Bolívar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.68 | 19.4% | 17.2% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 21.6% | 18.6% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.54 | 58.9% | 64.1% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.54 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Bolívar
Probability
64.1%
Model confidence
64.1%
Bolívar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60