Independiente Petrolerovs
ABB
COMPLETEDBolivia · Primera División · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Petrolero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Independiente Petrolero 4-2 ABB
Original prediction
Independiente Petrolero
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 04:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 58.2% | 49.7% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 22.1% | 22.9% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.62 | 19.7% | 27.4% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Independiente Petrolero
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Independiente Petrolero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40