GGOALVIO

Colombia · Liga Femenina · 3/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Medellín W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Independiente Medellín W are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Real Santander W are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellín W hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 30.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.6% in the Liga Femenina, while Independiente Medellín W holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Medellín W

Probability

58.0%

Model confidence

18.6%

Independiente Medellín W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente Medellín WLDDDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Real Santander WDWDLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente Medellín WReal Santander W
46.7Attack8.3
57.8Defence54.2
42.2Form20.8
49.1Power30.7
1.45xG0.55
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