GGOALVIO

Colombia · Liga Femenina · 4/28/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Medellín W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Independiente Medellín W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Once Caldas W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellín W hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 30.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.6% in the Liga Femenina, while Independiente Medellín W holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Medellín W

Probability

62.4%

Model confidence

17.6%

Independiente Medellín W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente Medellín WLWLWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Once Caldas WLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Independiente Medellín WOnce Caldas W
46.7Attack13.3
57.8Defence48.9
42.2Form17.8
49.1Power30.0
1.62xG0.55
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