GGOALVIO

Colombia · Liga Femenina · 3/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Medellín W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Independiente Medellín W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Deportivo Pasto W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellín W hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 31.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.1% in the Liga Femenina, while Independiente Medellín W holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Medellín W

Probability

64.7%

Model confidence

16.1%

Independiente Medellín W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente Medellín WLWDWL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo Pasto WDLDLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente Medellín WDeportivo Pasto W
46.7Attack26.7
57.8Defence44.4
42.2Form15.6
49.1Power31.4
1.76xG0.58
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