GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 2/4/2023, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Independiente Medellin are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Santa Fe are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.9 against 55.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.5% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.5%

Model confidence

34.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente MedellinD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Santa FeD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Independiente MedellinSanta Fe
50.0Attack51.3
57.6Defence64.1
53.0Form50.0
55.9Power55.9
1.16xG1.19
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