Independiente MedellinvsSan Lorenzo

Independiente Medellin are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while San Lorenzo are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.