Independiente Medellinvs
Palestino
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/22/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Independiente Medellin are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Palestino are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80