GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/22/2024, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Independiente Medellin are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Palestino are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Palestino hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.2%

Model confidence

40.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente MedellinDLWDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PalestinoLDWDL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Independiente MedellinPalestino
33.3Attack14.3
50.0Defence66.7
16.7Form28.6
36.5Power39.6
0.98xG0.77
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