Independiente Medellinvs
Lanus
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/26/2024, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Medellin · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Independiente Medellin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lanus are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Lanus hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Independiente Medellin holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente Medellin
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Independiente Medellin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00