GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 2/7/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Medellin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Independiente Medellin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while La Equidad are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellin hold a 10.5-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the Primera A, while Independiente Medellin holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Medellin

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

12.2%

Independiente Medellin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente MedellinDDLLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
La EquidadDWWLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente MedellinLa Equidad
50.0Attack41.7
57.6Defence45.8
53.0Form43.1
55.9Power45.3
1.79xG0.94
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