GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 3/13/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Juventud · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Independiente Medellin are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Juventud are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 49.5 against 51.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Juventud holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Juventud

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

14.8%

Juventud has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente MedellinDLDDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
JuventudWDLWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente MedellinJuventud
36.7Attack44.4
53.3Defence55.6
50.0Form44.4
49.5Power51.1
1.05xG1.14
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