GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 3/20/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Medellin · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Independiente Medellin are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Junior are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.9 against 55.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Primera A, while Independiente Medellin holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Medellin

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

14.5%

Independiente Medellin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente MedellinWWDLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
JuniorWLDWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente MedellinJunior
50.0Attack48.1
57.6Defence61.7
53.0Form54.3
55.9Power55.9
1.23xG1.12
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