GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 5/3/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Medellin · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Independiente Medellin are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Rionegro Aguilas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellin hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Primera A, while Independiente Medellin holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Medellin

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Independiente Medellin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente MedellinWWWWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Rionegro AguilasDLLWL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Independiente MedellinRionegro Aguilas
50.0Attack38.1
57.6Defence57.1
53.0Form50.8
55.9Power51.6
1.39xG0.88
View match centre →