Independiente Medellinvs
Deportivo Pereira
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 2/14/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Medellin · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Independiente Medellin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Deportivo Pereira are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellin hold a 23.3-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.0% in the Primera A, while Independiente Medellin holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente Medellin
Probability
65.0%
Model confidence
65.0%
Independiente Medellin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60