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Independiente Medellin
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Deportivo Pasto
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Independiente Medellin leads with 47% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Independiente Medellin head into this in Primera A fixture at Estadio Atanasio Girardot in mixed form (DW), while Deportivo Pasto arrive in mixed form (L). Independiente Medellin have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Deportivo Pasto over 1 games.
The model rates Independiente Medellin's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Deportivo Pasto defence, and Deportivo Pasto's attack at 9/100 against a 82/100 Independiente Medellin backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.
Independiente Medellin have won all 1 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game at home. Deportivo Pasto have limited away data in the engine at this stage.
There is no head-to-head data between Independiente Medellin and Deportivo Pasto in the engine.
The GoalVio engine projects Independiente Medellin to win with 47% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Independiente Medellin 4681%, Draw 2660%, Deportivo Pasto 2659%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
Recent form
Independiente Medellin
Deportivo Pasto
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?
GoalVio's model predicts Independiente Medellin to win with 47% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.