Independiente MedellinvsDefensa Y Justicia

Independiente Medellin are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Defensa Y Justicia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Defensa Y Justicia hold a 28.6-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 65.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Defensa Y Justicia holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.