GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/11/2024, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Medellin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Independiente Medellin are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Cesar Vallejo are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 36.5 against 37.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Independiente Medellin holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Medellin

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

Independiente Medellin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente MedellinDLLWL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Cesar VallejoDLDDL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente MedellinCesar Vallejo
33.3Attack52.4
50.0Defence19.0
16.7Form33.3
36.5Power37.3
1.72xG1.26
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