GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente Medellin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Independiente Medellin are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bucaramanga are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente Medellin hold a 40.8-point power-rating edge (56.2 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Independiente Medellin holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente Medellin

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Independiente Medellin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente MedellinLLDWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BucaramangaDDWLD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente MedellinBucaramanga
66.7Attack33.3
50.0Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
56.2Power15.3
2.35xG1.34
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