GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/30/2024, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Always Ready · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Independiente Medellin are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Always Ready are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Always Ready hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Always Ready holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Always Ready

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Always Ready has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente MedellinDWWWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Always ReadyLWWDW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente MedellinAlways Ready
33.3Attack54.2
50.0Defence54.2
16.7Form58.3
36.5Power55.6
1.15xG1.39
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