Independiente FSJvs
Blumenau
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Independiente FSJ are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Blumenau are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Blumenau hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40