GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Independiente FSJ are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Blumenau are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Blumenau hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.1% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 16% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

53.1%

Model confidence

53.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente FSJWLWDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
BlumenauWWWWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente FSJBlumenau
11.1Attack44.4
86.1Defence72.2
44.4Form58.3
50.2Power60.1
0.42xG0.60
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