Independiente F.b.c.vs
Guairena FC
COMPLETEDParaguay · Division Intermedia · 4/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente F.b.c. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Independiente F.b.c. are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Guairena FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente F.b.c. hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Division Intermedia, while Independiente F.b.c. holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independiente F.b.c.
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
14.4%
Independiente F.b.c. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00