GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 4/14/2023, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente F.b.c. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Independiente F.b.c. are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Atlético Colegiales are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente F.b.c. hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 41.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Division Intermedia, while Independiente F.b.c. holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente F.b.c.

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

51.1%

Independiente F.b.c. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente F.b.c.LD

GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Atlético ColegialesLD

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.50/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 0/2
Independiente F.b.c.Atlético Colegiales
48.1Attack32.2
53.7Defence51.1
42.6Form35.6
50.1Power41.6
1.54xG0.80
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