GGOALVIO

Paraguay · Division Intermedia · 5/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente F.b.c. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Independiente F.b.c. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while 3 de Noviembre are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente F.b.c. hold a 19.4-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 30.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.1% in the Division Intermedia, while Independiente F.b.c. holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente F.b.c.

Probability

65.1%

Model confidence

15.1%

Independiente F.b.c. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente F.b.c.LWDWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
3 de NoviembreDLDLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente F.b.c.3 de Noviembre
48.1Attack25.9
53.7Defence44.4
42.6Form13.0
50.1Power30.8
1.82xG0.62
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