Independiente del Vallevs
Vasco DA Gama
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/16/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasco DA Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Independiente del Valle are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vasco DA Gama are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasco DA Gama hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vasco DA Gama
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40