GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 7/16/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vasco DA Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Independiente del Valle are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Vasco DA Gama are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasco DA Gama hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 58.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vasco DA Gama

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente del ValleWDWDD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Vasco DA GamaLWLWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente del ValleVasco DA Gama
0.0Attack48.1
83.3Defence70.4
16.7Form55.6
36.5Power58.7
0.75xG1.13
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