Independiente del Vallevs
Universidad Catolica
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 10/23/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente del Valle · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Independiente del Valle 0-0 Universidad Catolica
Original prediction
Independiente del Valle
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.60 | 56.9% | 53.1% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.2% | 23.6% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.81 | 18.9% | 23.2% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Independiente del Valle
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
53.1%
Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00