Independiente del Vallevs
Universidad Catolica
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Independiente del Valle 2-2 Universidad Catolica
Original prediction
Independiente del Valle
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 57.0% | 52.7% | -4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.7% | 24.1% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.74 | 19.3% | 23.2% | 3.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.86 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Independiente del Valle
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20