GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 4/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Independiente del Valle are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Orense SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 33.7-point power-rating edge (78.3 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

79.2%

Model confidence

14.1%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente del ValleWLDWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Orense SCLWLDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente del ValleOrense SC
81.3Attack38.9
68.0Defence50.0
85.3Form37.5
78.3Power44.5
2.68xG0.61
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