GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/18/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Once Caldas · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Independiente del Valle are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Once Caldas are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Once Caldas hold a 34.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Once Caldas holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Once Caldas

Probability

52.9%

Model confidence

52.9%

Once Caldas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente del ValleWWWLW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Once CaldasWDWWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente del ValleOnce Caldas
0.0Attack56.4
83.3Defence76.9
16.7Form76.9
36.5Power70.7
0.57xG1.38
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