GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 2/25/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Independiente del Valle are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Mushuc Runa SC are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 29.9-point power-rating edge (78.3 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.9% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

71.9%

Model confidence

71.9%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente del ValleWLLDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Mushuc Runa SCDLL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.33/2.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Independiente del ValleMushuc Runa SC
81.3Attack42.7
68.0Defence54.7
85.3Form42.7
78.3Power48.4
2.40xG0.68
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