GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/7/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Independiente del Valle are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Mushuc Runa SC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 29.9-point power-rating edge (78.3 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.9% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

71.9%

Model confidence

71.9%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente del ValleWLWWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Mushuc Runa SCDDDWL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Independiente del ValleMushuc Runa SC
81.3Attack42.7
68.0Defence54.7
85.3Form42.7
78.3Power48.4
2.40xG0.68
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