GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/13/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mushuc Runa SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Independiente del Valle are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Mushuc Runa SC are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mushuc Runa SC hold a 37.3-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 73.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Mushuc Runa SC holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mushuc Runa SC

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

52.0%

Mushuc Runa SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente del ValleDWWWD

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Mushuc Runa SCLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente del ValleMushuc Runa SC
0.0Attack59.3
83.3Defence74.1
16.7Form81.5
36.5Power73.8
0.64xG1.43
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