GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 4/25/2026, 7:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Independiente del Valle are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Leones del Norte are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 28.9-point power-rating edge (78.3 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.1% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

65.1%

Model confidence

65.1%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente del ValleWLWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Leones del NorteWLLWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente del ValleLeones del Norte
81.3Attack33.3
68.0Defence65.3
85.3Form44.4
78.3Power49.4
1.83xG0.53
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