GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 2/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Independiente del Valle are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Guayaquil City FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independiente del Valle hold a 31.2-point power-rating edge (78.3 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.1% in the Liga Pro, while Independiente del Valle holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independiente del Valle

Probability

68.1%

Model confidence

68.1%

Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independiente del ValleWWDDL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Guayaquil City FCLLWDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente del ValleGuayaquil City FC
81.3Attack27.8
68.0Defence65.3
85.3Form40.3
78.3Power47.1
1.84xG0.44
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