Independiente del Vallevs
Flamengo
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 9/11/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Independiente del Valle 0-2 Flamengo
Original prediction
Flamengo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.19 | 29.5% | 32.6% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.92 | 32.3% | 28.5% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.47 | 38.2% | 38.9% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Flamengo
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60