Independiente del Vallevs
Deportes Tolima
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 8/26/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente del Valle · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Independiente del Valle 0-0 Deportes Tolima, with an exact score probability of 23%.
Prediction record
Final result
Independiente del Valle 3-1 Deportes Tolima
Original prediction
Independiente del Valle
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Record timestamp is not before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 60.2% | 50.4% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 24.5% | 29.9% | 5.4 pts |
| Away | 6.28 | 15.3% | 19.8% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Projected Score
Independiente del Valle 0–0 Deportes Tolima
Exact score probability: 23%
Predicted outcome
Independiente del Valle
Probability
50.4%
Model confidence
50.4%
Independiente del Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20